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Dan the Man's Movie Reviews

All my aimless thoughts, ideas, and ramblings, all packed into one site!

Oscar Predictions and Thoughts for 2011


So as everyone among the film community know, it is Oscar time babyyyyy!!! So that means get ready for some of the biggest upsets, wins, and probably tearful moments of the year. It was a great year in the film, and this is what has all come down to it people. The big night, and here are my predictions, I hope I do well.

Best Animated Feature: Will Win: Toy Story 3 Should Win: Toy Story 3 Wild Card: How To Train Your Dragon

Best Documentary Feature: Will Win: Restrepo Should Win: Restrepo Wild Card: Exit Through The Gift Shop

Best Foreign Language Film: Will Win: In a Better World Should Win: Dogtooth Wild Card: Biutiful

Best Documentary Short, Best Live Action Short, Best Animated Short: Will Win: Can’t say I care too much

Best Editing: Will Win: The Social Network Should Win: The Social Network Wild Card: Black Swan

Best Cinematography: Will Win: True Grit Should Win: Inception Wild Card: The King’s Speech

Best Visual Effects: Will Win: Inception Should Win: Inception Wild Card: Alice in Wonderland

Best Sound Editing: Will Win: Inception Should Win: Inception Wild Card: Unstoppable

Best Sound Mixing: Will Win: Inception Should Win: Inception Wild Card: The Social Network

Best Art Direction: Will Win: Alice in Wonderland Should Win: Inception Wild Card: The King’s Speech

Best Costume Design: Will Win: Alice in Wonderland Should Win: Alice in Wonderland Wild Card: True Grit

Best Makeup: Will Win: The Wolfman Should Win: The Way Back

Best Original Score: Will Win: The Social Network Should Win: The Social Network Wild Card: Inception

Best Original Song: Will Win: We Belong Together (Toy Story 3) Should Win: We Belong Together (Toy Story 3) Wild Card: I See The Light (Tangled)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Will Win: The Social Network Should Win: The Social Network Wild Card: 127 Hours

Best Original Screenplay: Will Win: The King’s Speech Should Win: Inception Wild Card: The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress: Will Win: Hailee Steinfeld Should Win: Melissa Leo Wild Card: Amy Adams

Best Supporting Actor: Will Win: Christian Bale Should Win: Christian Bale Wild Card: Geoffrey Rush

Best Actor: Will Win: Colin Firth Should Win: Jesse Eisenberg Wild Card: James Franco

Best Actress: Will Win: Natalie Portman Should Win: Natalie Portman Wild Card: Annette Bening

Best Director: Will Win: David Fincher Should Win: David Fincher Wild Card: Tom Hooper

Best Picture: Will Win: The King’s Speech Should Win: The Social Network Wild Card: Toy Story 3

I must say that this is a pretty solid year for the Oscar’s this year. All the nominees look just about right the only problem is how will the picks turn out? This year, everything seems like it’s coming down to Old School (The King’s Speech) vs. New School (The Social Network). The past couple of years The Academy (I hate that word) has been looking more towards hip, new films to win it’s Oscar Best Picture. Films such as Slumdog Millionaire, The Hurt Locker, and American Beauty have all been unconventional new films that have seen their taste of Best Picture gold. But there has also been countless period piece wins for films such as Gladiator, Shakespeare In Love, and The English Patient. Also, many other major award shows have already presented the Best Picture win to The King’s Speech which is really chasing up people’s noses, as many other award shows have been choosing The Social Network as theirs. In my opinion, I liked Inception more than both of them, and yeah it’s nominated, but in all honesty it has no chance of winning. When it comes down to it I think that The Social Network should win, because it is an age-defining film, that went from being known as “The Facebook Movie” to being known as the top contender for every Oscar it’s nominated for. I hope that The Academy goes for the new school, because if they had The King’s Speech win, everyone would feel robbed really.

As for Best Actor, I think that Firth deserves to win for all his years dedicate to films, but Eisenberg fully deserves it. I think what the Academy is doing more and more now, is honoring actors & actresses not for just a certain performance they had, but their careers and saying that it’s their time. I don’t mind seeing stars like Jeff Bridges, Kate Winslet, or Colin Firth win an Oscar, because of the career they have but I’d rather see the “best performance of the year award” go to the BEST PERFORMANCE OF THE YEAR.

When it comes to the Best Actress category, it seems like Natalie Portman is the sole winner for here, as she has won almost every single Best Actress nomination at every award show. However, there is once again that little idea that it’s Annette Bening’s “time” to win, as she has been nominated twice, and still has not won yet even though her career has been going on for so long. I want Portman to win, and most likely she will, but I still have a feeling that The Academy may pull something out of their pockets and surprise us all with a Bening win.

I’m very disappointed that my main man Christopher Nolan was not nominated for Best Director this year. He was snubbed for The Dark Knight, and now he’s being snubbed again, and it just pisses me off knowing that certain directors that do such a good job with daring material, don’t get the credit they deserve. I think if Nolan was nominated, he should have won, but I know it’s The Oscars, and not everything works out the right way.

This year had great films, and I’m glad to see that the Oscars have turned out to be this way. I loved 2010 as a year, and the films made it awesome. Here’s to 2011, and let’s just hope that the Oscars are awesome.

Thanks everybody for always reading, and keep on checking!!

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16 responses to “Oscar Predictions and Thoughts for 2011

  1. scarletsp1der February 27, 2011 at 5:05 am

    Glad you voted for Hailee Steinfeld as well! I did too! We have quite a few similar picks! It will def be a fun show. You think True Grit over Black Swan for Cinematography, huh?!

  2. monbonmot February 27, 2011 at 9:22 am

    It seems like most of our predictions match. Why do you think Hailee Steinfield it’s going to win? I really don’t think so. Though I liked her performance, Melissa Leo’s was better. I see you agree with me in regards to the movie Inception; the movie is phenomenal. Unfortunately, the Academy still tends to be conservative when deciding on the categories. it’s really unfair. Take The Social Network for example, an unconventional story, but a solid one; and it has received many accolades and awards. Anyway, Inception continues on being my favorite movie of 2010. Read if you’d like my 2011 Oscar nominated movie reviews; you’ll understand why my preferences.

  3. Black Sheep February 27, 2011 at 1:14 pm

    Great predictions! We differ on a few points and I pray you are not correct about Steinfeld stealing it from Leo, or even from Adams. I would love a Toy Story 3 Best Picture upset. That would be amazing! It isn’t going to happen but still … I too think that this bunch of films is a great one. As for the modern vs. traditional argument though, it makes it sound as if voting for a period piece is old school. The King’s Speech is a particularly progressive period piece and really, it is just a different genre. I don’t think voting that way makes the Academy seem dated. Although I do think The Social Network is the better picture overall.

    Happy Oscar Day!

  4. 6thstation February 27, 2011 at 3:52 pm

    Wall E didn’t even get nominated, UP didn’t win and TS 3 gotta win this time..
    TS3: To immortality and beyond! :)

  5. Mad Hatter February 27, 2011 at 4:56 pm

    Just a question – for best Foreign film you’re going with a blind guess, right?

  6. Mike Lippert February 27, 2011 at 6:51 pm

    Seems about right although I have a lot less love for Inception than everyone else on here seems to. Great action movie. Not a lot more than that. I think the supporting actress category is the most unsure of all my predictions. It could very easily go to anyone.

  7. RC of strangeculture February 28, 2011 at 6:22 am

    Man, I thought there would be the Fincher director win too – bummer!

    It’s really too bad.

  8. Andrew March 11, 2011 at 3:07 pm

    I really would have liked to have seen The King’s Speech dominate the Supporting Actor/Actress categories, too, if only because Rush has been an amazing actor for years where Bale has been inconsistent and kind of one-note, and because I want the world to encourage Bonham-Carter to do things with her talent other than work for her domestic partner. I also admit to just not liking Bale in general, and maybe I’m just naive but I’m kind of surprised to see a guy with a poisonous image like him actually win. Looks like The Fighter was enough to turn his image around.

    Tom Hooper beating Fincher is a huge joke that would be funny if it was funny at all but it’s not. Hooper may have directed the best picture of 2010– by Oscar standards, though it is a really, really good movie, and so is deserving of recognition– but he didn’t do a better job directing than Fincher. The Social Network is much more a director’s feat than The King’s Speech, which is mostly good because Hooper knows where to place his camera and get interesting shots and angles but mostly because he lets his actors act without getting too fancy. TSN is all about Fincher’s efforts to make a courtroom drama about Facebook palatable and gripping. To say Hooper did more is kind of an insult to what Fincher did, but the Academy recognizes who it recognizes and Hooper did a better job politicking.

    Exit should have won. Missed opportunity, Academy. Now we’ll never know who would have collected that award for Banksy.

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